Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000141 0.000155 0.000170 0.000188 0.000207 0.000228 0.000253
2025-10-26 0.000114 0.000134 0.000158 0.000188 0.000225 0.000268 0.000323
2025-11-02 0.000096 0.000119 0.000148 0.000186 0.000235 0.000298 0.000384
2025-11-09 0.000084 0.000109 0.000141 0.000185 0.000246 0.000328 0.000448
2025-11-16 0.000074 0.000100 0.000133 0.000182 0.000253 0.000351 0.000504
2025-11-23 0.000066 0.000091 0.000126 0.000178 0.000255 0.000369 0.000553
2025-11-30 0.000062 0.000087 0.000124 0.000180 0.000268 0.000403 0.000630
2025-12-07 0.000058 0.000084 0.000122 0.000184 0.000282 0.000439 0.000715
2025-12-14 0.000053 0.000079 0.000117 0.000180 0.000285 0.000457 0.000772
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000073 0.000110 0.000174 0.000281 0.000464 0.000811
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000070 0.000108 0.000174 0.000290 0.000492 0.000892
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000067 0.000106 0.000175 0.000299 0.000523 0.000981
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000064 0.000103 0.000174 0.000304 0.000547 0.001063
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000062 0.000101 0.000175 0.000315 0.000585 0.001180
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000059 0.000098 0.000173 0.000319 0.000609 0.001274
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000056 0.000096 0.000172 0.000326 0.000641 0.001389
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000053 0.000092 0.000170 0.000329 0.000663 0.001484
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000088 0.000165 0.000327 0.000676 0.001563
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000049 0.000088 0.000168 0.000340 0.000723 0.001733
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000048 0.000088 0.000171 0.000355 0.000776 0.001928
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000046 0.000085 0.000168 0.000355 0.000794 0.002034
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000043 0.000080 0.000162 0.000348 0.000794 0.002089
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000042 0.000079 0.000162 0.000357 0.000835 0.002269